Anas Nfaou vs Kyle Watson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record13-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Submission Factory MMATeamHIT Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anas NfaouKyle Watson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anas Nfaou76%
Kyle Watson 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Anas Nfaou a 76% favorite over Kyle Watson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Watson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1524), separated by just 4 points.
Kyle Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anas Nfaou finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Watson 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.