Anderson dos Santos vs Kris Moutinho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach68"
147 lbsWeight135 lbs
Babuino Gold TeamTeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson dos SantosKris Moutinho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kris Moutinho70%
Anderson dos Santos 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 70% favorite over Anderson dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson dos Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.
Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anderson dos Santos finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.
Anderson dos Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.