Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Shamil Abdulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamUniversal Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Shamil AbdulaevNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
62%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
78%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.79
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaShamil Abdulaev
1700175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (9%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (24%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Abdulaev73%
Anderson Silva 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Abdulaev a 73% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1719), separated by just 1 points.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.