Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Galvao vs Theodor Berggren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight167 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamRenyi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre GalvaoNow 1590
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-24→ 1566
Theodor BerggrenNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andre GalvaoTheodor Berggren
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (60%)
Submission
3 (38%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Theodor Berggren70%
Andre Galvao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 70% favorite over Andre Galvao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Galvao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Galvao finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.