Andre Santos vs Andrzej Grzebyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-12-0Record22-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cacadores TeamTeamRalph Gracie Rzeszow
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre SantosAndrzej Grzebyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrzej Grzebyk66%
Andre Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 66% favorite over Andre Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.
Andre Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Grzebyk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andre Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Andrzej Grzebyk 73%.
Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.