Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Dhiego Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record15-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-25→ 1536
Dhiego LimaNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.26
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliDhiego Lima
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (25%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali63%
Dhiego Lima 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 63% favorite over Dhiego Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1553), separated by just 8 points.

Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dhiego Lima 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.