Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Luke Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Luke StewartNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliLuke Stewart
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (50%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali76%
Luke Stewart 24%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 76% favorite over Luke Stewart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1556), separated by just 5 points.

Luke Stewart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luke Stewart 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.