Andrea Kabali vs Seth Baczynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea KabaliSeth Baczynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Kabali82%
Seth Baczynski 18%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 82% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1554), separated by just 7 points.
Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.