Andrew Montanez vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-12-1Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
165 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew MontanezEbrahem Mahmoud
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud66%
Andrew Montanez 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 66% favorite over Andrew Montanez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Montanez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1471), separated by just 4 points.
Andrew Montanez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andrew Montanez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.