Andrew Sanchez vs Brian Rogers
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record14-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew SanchezBrian Rogers
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Sanchez53%
Brian Rogers 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 53% favorite over Brian Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.
Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Rogers enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Brian Rogers 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.