Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Ryan Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Ryan GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezRyan Gracie
15001550160020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (40%)
6 (43%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gracie53%
Andrew Sanchez 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gracie a 53% favorite over Andrew Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Sanchez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Gracie enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gracie 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.