Andrew Valladerez vs Daniel Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-7-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'6"
TBDReach70"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Daniel Lacerda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Andrew Valladerez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1497
If they lose-15→ 1465
If they win+15→ 1522
If they lose-17→ 1490
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew ValladerezDaniel Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Lacerda54%
Andrew Valladerez 46%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 54% favorite over Andrew Valladerez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Daniel Lacerda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1480, a 27-point edge.
Andrew Valladerez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Valladerez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Lacerda 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.