Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrey Pulyaev vs Marcelo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrey PulyaevNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Marcelo GuimaraesNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
56%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.41
55%
Strike defense
63%
0.29
Takedown avg.
1.99
17%
Takedown accuracy
14%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrey PulyaevMarcelo Guimaraes
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrey Pulyaev66%
Marcelo Guimaraes 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrey Pulyaev a 66% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1606), separated by just 4 points.

Andrey Pulyaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrey Pulyaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Guimaraes 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.