Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Waters vs Aron Franz Kristjansson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Waters
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Andy Waters

“Deep”

0-0-0FeatherweightCOGA

1471Average

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeightTBD
45,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamMjolnir

What's at stake

Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Andy Waters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andy WatersNow 1471
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449
Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.88
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andy WatersAron Franz Kristjansson
150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aron Franz Kristjansson63%
Andy Waters 37%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 63% favorite over Andy Waters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1471, a 29-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.