Andy Waters vs Chris Avila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
45,0"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Andy Waters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449
If they win+15→ 1510
If they lose-17→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andy Waters and Chris Avila within a point of even.
Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1471, a 24-point edge.
Chris Avila 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.