Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Alvarez vs Landon Quiñones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record7-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel AlvarezNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Landon QuiñonesNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.70
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Angel AlvarezLandon Quiñones
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
7 (64%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Alvarez60%
Landon Quiñones 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 60% favorite over Landon Quiñones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Angel Alvarez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Landon Quiñones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Landon Quiñones 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.