Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Pacheco vs Steven Graham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Start BJJTeamAmerica Top Team HD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel PachecoNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Steven GrahamNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
11.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Angel PachecoSteven Graham
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (29%)
Submission
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Pacheco58%
Steven Graham 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Pacheco a 58% favorite over Steven Graham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Graham's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1572), separated by just 4 points.

Angel Pacheco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Angel Pacheco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steven Graham 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.