Combat Edge Intelligence

Angelo Terenzio vs Nick Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record9-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
-Reach70,0"
121 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamBlackline MMA

What's at stake

Angelo Terenzio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Nick Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Angelo TerenzioNow 1509
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Nick GarciaNow 1479
If they win+26→ 1505
If they lose-22→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.36
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Angelo TerenzioNick Garcia
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (100%)
Submission
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Angelo Terenzio62%
Nick Garcia 38%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Angelo Terenzio a 62% favorite over Nick Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Angelo Terenzio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1479, a 30-point edge.

Angelo Terenzio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Garcia 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.