Combat Edge Intelligence

Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo vs Mohammad Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
IndependentTeamTK MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anistavio Medeiros de FigueiredoNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Mohammad YahyaNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.39
48%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Anistavio Medeiros de FigueiredoMohammad Yahya
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
16 (84%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Yahya60%
Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 60% favorite over Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1565), separated by just 2 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Yahya 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.