Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Figueroa vs Nathanael Woods

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record2-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony FigueroaNow 1536
If they win+15→ 1551
If they lose-17→ 1519
Nathanael WoodsNow 1525
If they win+25→ 1550
If they lose-23→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anthony FigueroaNathanael Woods
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (73%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathanael Woods59%
Anthony Figueroa 41%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathanael Woods a 59% favorite over Anthony Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Figueroa's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1525), separated by just 11 points.

Anthony Figueroa finishes 27% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.