Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Baisangur Susurkaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record12-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HernandezNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.56
61%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
51%
Strike defense
53%
5.88
Takedown avg.
2.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
68%
Takedown defense
100%
1.63
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezBaisangur Susurkaev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
9 (60%)
Submission
2 (17%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev51%
Anthony Hernandez 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 51% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1743), separated by just 5 points.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Baisangur Susurkaev 92%.

Baisangur Susurkaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.