Anthony Hernandez vs Krzysztof Jotko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record29-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezKrzysztof Jotko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Hernandez60%
Krzysztof Jotko 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 60% favorite over Krzysztof Jotko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Krzysztof Jotko's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1743), separated by just 5 points.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 34%.
Anthony Hernandez and Krzysztof Jotko share 2 common opponents: Sean Strickland and Brendan Allen.
Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.