Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HernandezNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Robert WhittakerNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
61%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
51%
Strike defense
60%
5.88
Takedown avg.
0.73
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
68%
Takedown defense
82%
1.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezRobert Whittaker
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
9 (60%)
Submission
5 (19%)
3 (20%)
Decision
11 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Hernandez66%
Robert Whittaker 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 66% favorite over Robert Whittaker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Whittaker's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1739), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.

Anthony Hernandez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.