Anthony Ivy vs Arijan Topallaj
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record10-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
176 lbsWeight163 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony IvyArijan Topallaj
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj71%
Anthony Ivy 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 71% favorite over Anthony Ivy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1640), separated by just 4 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anthony Ivy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Arijan Topallaj 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.