Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Morrison vs Chris Avila

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Daddis Fight CampsTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Anthony Morrison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony MorrisonNow 1456
If they win+27→ 1483
If they lose-21→ 1435
Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+14→ 1509
If they lose-18→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
33%
Strike accuracy
30%
0.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
80%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
4 (20%)
Submission
2 (25%)
6 (30%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila75%
Anthony Morrison 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 75% favorite over Anthony Morrison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1456, a 39-point edge.

Anthony Morrison enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Morrison finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Chris Avila 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.