Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Pettis vs Mike Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record11-1-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Mike GravesNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
48%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.61
Takedown avg.
4.80
50%
Takedown accuracy
52%
60%
Takedown defense
67%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Anthony PettisMike Graves
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
8 (32%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (24%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves70%
Anthony Pettis 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 70% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1683), separated by just 3 points.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Graves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.