Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Rocco Martin vs Jack Hermansson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record24-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony Rocco MartinNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
37%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
58%
Strike defense
57%
0.71
Takedown avg.
1.50
27%
Takedown accuracy
30%
69%
Takedown defense
81%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Anthony Rocco MartinJack Hermansson
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
10 (56%)
Submission
6 (25%)
7 (39%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Rocco Martin60%
Jack Hermansson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 60% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1721), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.