Combat Edge Intelligence

Anton Berzin vs Rafael Xavier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record14-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rocco Mixed Martial ArtsTeamSayyato Performance Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anton BerzinNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Rafael XavierNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anton BerzinRafael Xavier
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Xavier56%
Anton Berzin 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Xavier a 56% favorite over Anton Berzin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Anton Berzin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Xavier 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.