Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Frank Mir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record19-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
240 lbsWeight262 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamFrank Mir Gym

What's at stake

Frank Mir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Antoni Hardonk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+17→ 1619
If they lose-15→ 1587
Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+11→ 1631
If they lose-13→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
61%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
47%
Strike defense
39%
0
Takedown avg.
2.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
40%
Takedown defense
55%
0.88
Submission avg.
2.02

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkFrank Mir
155016002007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
2 (25%)
Submission
9 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoni Hardonk54%
Frank Mir 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoni Hardonk a 54% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Mir's way (47%).

Frank Mir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1602, a 18-point edge.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Frank Mir 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.