Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
240 lbsWeight246 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamTFT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
61%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.88
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkPaul Elliott
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott73%
Antoni Hardonk 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 73% favorite over Antoni Hardonk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1607), separated by just 5 points.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.