Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Braga Neto vs Cody Brundage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77,0"Reach72″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio Braga NetoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Cody BrundageNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
33%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
45%
Strike defense
51%
3.07
Takedown avg.
1.88
38%
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
69%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Antônio Braga NetoCody Brundage
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
7 (78%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Brundage60%
Antônio Braga Neto 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Brundage a 60% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1588), separated by just 5 points.

Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antônio Braga Neto finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Cody Brundage 91%.

Antônio Braga Neto carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.