Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Karlos Vemola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vemola
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Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1737Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record37-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio Carlos Jr.Now 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Karlos VemolaNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
40%
Strike defense
38%
2.92
Takedown avg.
1.93
80%
Takedown accuracy
26%
73%
Takedown defense
31%
2.19
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Antônio Carlos Jr.Karlos Vemola
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
12 (67%)
Submission
20 (54%)
6 (33%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Antônio Carlos Jr.70%
Karlos Vemola 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Carlos Jr. a 70% favorite over Karlos Vemola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karlos Vemola's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1737), separated by just 6 points.

Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.