Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Carvalho vs Douglas Silva de Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record29-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bruckmann Martial ArtsTeamCorinthians MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio CarvalhoNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
29%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
65%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0.55
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
100%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Antonio CarvalhoDouglas Silva de Andrade
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (7%)
5 (33%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade66%
Antonio Carvalho 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 66% favorite over Antonio Carvalho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio Carvalho's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Carvalho finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Silva de Andrade 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.