Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs John Maguire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
John MaguireNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
78%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaJohn Maguire
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (12%)
1 (25%)
Submission
16 (62%)
1 (25%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca67%
John Maguire 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 67% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1559), separated by just 7 points.

John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Maguire 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.