Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs Jorge Patino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record39-19-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamChute Boxe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Jorge PatinoNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaJorge Patino
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
18 (50%)
1 (25%)
Submission
9 (25%)
1 (25%)
Decision
9 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca61%
Jorge Patino 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 61% favorite over Jorge Patino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1559), separated by just 7 points.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Patino 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.