Antonio Fofirca vs Kevin Knabjian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record12-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamGilbert Grappling
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio FofircaKevin Knabjian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antonio Fofirca60%
Kevin Knabjian 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 60% favorite over Kevin Knabjian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1559), separated by just 7 points.
Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Knabjian 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.