Antonio Fofirca vs Lee Gibson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio FofircaLee Gibson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antonio Fofirca51%
Lee Gibson 49%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 51% favorite over Lee Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1560), separated by just 6 points.
Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lee Gibson 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.