Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Schembri vs Denis Tiuliulin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
Schembri BJJ AcademyTeamEvolve Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio SchembriNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antonio SchembriDenis Tiuliulin
1550160020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Schembri60%
Denis Tiuliulin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Schembri a 60% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Tiuliulin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1537), separated by just 3 points.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Schembri finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.