Antonio Silva vs Marcus Buchecha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-15-1Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80,0"Reach80"
264 lbsWeight254 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio SilvaMarcus Buchecha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Buchecha67%
Antonio Silva 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 67% favorite over Antonio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1593), separated by just 3 points.
Antonio Silva enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Antonio Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.