Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Goran Reljic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Goran Reljic
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Goran Reljic

“Ghost”

21-12-0Light HeavyweightACA

1551Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record21-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
LG SystemTeamRenbukai Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Goran ReljicNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
50%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.69
24%
Strike defense
59%
0.79
Takedown avg.
1.69
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
33%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliGoran Reljic
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
5 (42%)
Submission
7 (33%)
4 (33%)
Decision
7 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli63%
Goran Reljic 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 63% favorite over Goran Reljic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Goran Reljic's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1551), separated by just 10 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Goran Reljic enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Goran Reljic 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.