Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Jamie Yager

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Yager
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Jamie Yager

“The Chosyn 1”

9-4-0WelterweightPFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
LG SystemTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Jamie YagerNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
50%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
24%
Strike defense
63%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
67%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliJamie Yager
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
5 (42%)
Submission
4 (44%)
4 (33%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli52%
Jamie Yager 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 52% favorite over Jamie Yager in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Yager's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1549), separated by just 8 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jamie Yager enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Yager 78%.

Antonio Trócoli carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.