Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Maki Pitolo
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Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1546Average

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'9"
79"Reach75"
186 lbsWeight195 lbs
LG SystemTeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Maki PitoloNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
24%
Strike defense
55%
0.79
Takedown avg.
2.24
10%
Takedown accuracy
53%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliMaki Pitolo
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
5 (42%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Antonio Trócoli and Maki Pitolo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1546), separated by just 5 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Antonio Trócoli carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.