Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Carli Judice
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness MMATeamHeadkicks MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
If they win+25→ 1648
If they lose-23→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane Lipski da SilvaCarli Judice
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice53%
Ariane Lipski da Silva 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 53% favorite over Ariane Lipski da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ariane Lipski da Silva's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1623), separated by just 11 points.
Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Carli Judice 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.