Combat Edge Intelligence

Arijan Topallaj vs Jonny Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jonny Parsons
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Jonny Parsons

“The Sluggernaut”

9-3-0WelterweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

10-2-1Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach69,0"
163 lbsWeight171 lbs
Planet EaterTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arijan TopallajNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Jonny ParsonsNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.89
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Arijan TopallajJonny Parsons
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Arijan Topallaj60%
Jonny Parsons 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 60% favorite over Jonny Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonny Parsons's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jonny Parsons enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jonny Parsons 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.