Arijan Topallaj vs Kazushi Sakuraba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record26-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
163 lbsWeight167 lbs
Planet EaterTeamLaughter7
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arijan TopallajKazushi Sakuraba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj72%
Kazushi Sakuraba 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 72% favorite over Kazushi Sakuraba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kazushi Sakuraba enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kazushi Sakuraba 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.