Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Josh Appelt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record15-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'10"
82"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight253 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arkadiusz WrzosekJosh Appelt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arkadiusz Wrzosek62%
Josh Appelt 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 62% favorite over Josh Appelt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Appelt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.
Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Josh Appelt 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.