Armando Villarreal vs Don Shainis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record15-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Blitz Sport MMATeamCitadel Martial Arts & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Armando VillarrealDon Shainis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Armando Villarreal60%
Don Shainis 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Armando Villarreal a 60% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.
Armando Villarreal finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Don Shainis 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.