Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Craig Oxley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record0-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamTBD

What's at stake

Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Craig Oxley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+19→ 1519
If they lose-29→ 1471
Craig OxleyNow 1434
If they win+29→ 1463
If they lose-19→ 1415

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonCraig Oxley
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aron Franz Kristjansson83%
Craig Oxley 17%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 83% favorite over Craig Oxley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1434, a 66-point edge.

Craig Oxley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.