Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs David Velasquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record10-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'5"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — David Velasquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475
David VelasquezNow 1484
If they win+17→ 1501
If they lose-15→ 1469

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonDavid Velasquez
15002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Aron Franz Kristjansson72%
David Velasquez 28%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 72% favorite over David Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1484, a 16-point edge.

David Velasquez 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.