Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Juan Puig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Juan Puig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1521
If they lose-27→ 1473
If they win+27→ 1484
If they lose-21→ 1436
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonJuan Puig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson78%
Juan Puig 22%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 78% favorite over Juan Puig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1457, a 43-point edge.
Juan Puig enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Puig 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.